On Wed, Jan 19, 2011 at 3:57 PM, Shem Ochuodho <shemochuodho@yahoo.com> wrote:

I have always wondered why one of the major mobile companies is treated with kids-gloves. The current case of SMS price-wars reinforces this concern. I would have thought that after passing the new katiba with Bill of Rights embedded (which includes consumer protection), everyone especially government, would celebrate when Airtel (I hold no brief) lowered SMS charges to KSh 1. This was even after their earlier push for interconnect rate to be pegged to KSh 0.2 was rejected, and instead GoK/CCK (with strong influence from Safaricom) settled on KSh 0.6. While one needs to look at the maths to know whether 0.2 or 0.6 should have been a more justified rate, Airtel has done us one more favour: which all Kenyans of goodwill should support. They have pegged their SMS costs to KSh 1.0, capping ‘other overheads + profit’ to KSh 0.4. I wouldn’t expect Airtel, a global reputable company to do this if the fundamentals were not right – unless it was a fly-by-night company! They confirm what a number of us have worried all along about: that mobile companies are over-reaping profits, most of which is repatriated to shareholders out of the country.

 

My 3 main concerns:-

 

1)      Why would the same people who rejoiced/indeed occasioned retrenchment when nearly 18,000 Kenyans were retrenched on privatizing Telkom Kenya now be so worried about Safaricom retrenching to the extent that they would deny Kenyans an opportunity to reap the benefits of competition, innovation and creativity?

2)      CCK is supposed to be independent. Why should the government (read Ministry) always interfere in their decisions?

3)      When we are being told “we’ll lose so much revenue in tax collection”, why aren’t we in the same vein being told “but in the process, we’ll reduce capital flight by way of (foreign) investment repatriation by so much”, and even more importantly that “through lower phone tariffs, Kenyan consumers will have saved so much/economy will have grown by so much as a result of cheaper phone costs.”?

 

Indeed some of the observations herein rooting against lower SMS costs remind me of my earlier (pupilage) days at the then KP&TC. For a while, a number of us advocated ‘lower costs, higher volumes’ (something that lately has become better known as ‘bottom billion’). The same way that it was dismissed then appears to me as the same way the ‘mobile price wars’ are being dismissed now by some. Haven’t Equity and Safaricom itself (actually, mobile companies) proven over time that this works?

 

To be honest, every time I am home I shudder about using Safaricom. For voice, I long stopped using my Safaricom number except to receive – heko to Airtel, Yu and others. For Internet, even when I do bundles, Safaricom is still VERY expensive. Instead of government helping (as demanded by the constitution), they are helping to keep the prices up. In the end who really benefits? Certainly not the consumer/ordinary Kenyan! If this approach has worked for Airtel in India (is the population nearly a billion?), why not for Kenya?

 

Best rgrds,

Shem

 

Just to add on to the debate, here is an analysis I have found interesting that I could not resist sharing:

Article Source: http://goo.gl/NUjFl

Price Wars: Rates Are Sustainable, The Government is Neither Fair nor Honest

0
Once again the Government appears to be taking sides in the wars between Telecom companies.

From ongoing media reports, it appears that the Government favours Safaricom over Airtel. This is not surprising in view of Government shareholding stake in Safaricom. It appears that the Government is at crossroads: Does it defend its investment in Safaricom and therefore use its might to stifle competition or does it take the noble route and do what is best for the consuming public.

Businessmen are rational beings and it is hard to believe the spin that Airtel’s prices are not sustainable. Airtel consistently says that its business model involves a low cost structure which is achieved by outsourcing non-core functions to experts. The IBM outsourcing transaction was widely reported in the media. Since profits are a function of revenues and costs, it is not surprising to see where Airtel is headed.  Airtel has gotten rid of its inefficiencies through outsourcing.  It is also attracting customers to it network using sweeteners like the 1 bob on net price and the 3 bob across all networks.  Reduced costs (through outsourcing) and high revenues (increased subscribers, increased traffic) = profit.

The story that the current prices are not sustainable is therefore just a carefully woven spin by those who want prices to remain high so that they can continue to reap “supernormal” profits at the expense of the consuming public or to justify their failure as the case may be.

TimesTimes reviews have changed and the consuming public is wiser and operating firms that are not efficient and want to pass those inefficiencies to consumers will not be able to do so and hence the hue and cry by Safaricom and OrangeOrange reviews. In the present circumstances they must review their business models to survive and typically these organizations are resisting change.

The 1 bob promo is a welcome relief for Kenyans who are reeling from the after effects of spending on Christmas and the shock of the expenses required by kids going back to school. Airtel should be honored and not vilified as is the case.
The Government is blaming Airtel for KRA’S failure to meet its revenue target. KRA is lucky to have such an easy scape goat. Does the government actually believe this? Where are the hard facts? Where is the evidence? Airtel should share the experience of IndiaIndia reviews. How has the low pricing structure in India impacted the economy of India? Most certainly, the impact has not been negative.

The CCK a government body has been saying that the high cost of telecommunication services has been a hindrance to the uptake of telecommunication services. It has also said that the prevalence of telecommunication services would spur economic growth because communication is essential to business. Has the Government changed its stand?
Does the Government not believe in a free market anymore? What Safaricom and Orange are actually asking for is protection from their competitors. Government should actually get out of these businesses while it still can and leave the market to those who can weather the storms of business.

Now Safaricom is asking the Government to raise the interconnection rates so that prices can be adjusted upwards.  And the Government is listening? They are also asking that the Government sets a minimum price for telecommunication services so that Airtel can be gagged from surprising customers with goodies from time to time. If ever there was a retrogressive step, this is one.

Government is meant to be a fair competition arbiter in the fight and not take sides as it has clearly done if the statements attributed to the PS Ministry of InformationInformation reviews and CommunicationCommunication reviews in the NationNation reviews are true.
Kenyan’s can also clearly remember that the Government scuttled the Fair Competition Regulations (developed by the Minister after consultation with CCK) because Safaricom did not want to be regulated for its anti – competitive behavior. Perhaps if the Government had not taken sides at the time the market would not be experiencing the price wars.

Monopolies are a bad thing whether they are owned by Government or by private investors. CompetitionCompetition reviews laws should be applied impartially and the aim should be to maximize consumer welfare and benefit.
Right now the customer is king and is enjoying easy communication after years of bondage to high prices. The Government should not spoil the party by insisting that operators should not below a fixed floor. Where is KenyaKenya reviews headed?

nce again the Government appears to be taking sides in the wars between Telecom companies.
>From ongoing media reports, it appears that the Government favours Safaricom over Airtel. This is not surprising in view of Government shareholding stake in Safaricom. It appears that the Government is at crossroads: Does it defend its investment in Safaricom and therefore use its might to stifle competition or does it take the noble route and do what is best for the consuming public.


Businessmen are rational beings and it is hard to believe the spin that Airtel’s prices are not sustainable. Airtel consistently says that its business model involves a low cost structure which is achieved by outsourcing non-core functions to experts. The IBM outsourcing transaction was widely reported in the media. Since profits are a function of revenues and costs, it is not surprising to see where Airtel is headed.  Airtel has gotten rid of its inefficiencies through outsourcing.  It is also attracting customers to it network using sweeteners like the 1 bob on net price and the 3 bob across all networks.  Reduced costs (through outsourcing) and high revenues (increased subscribers, increased traffic) = profit.


The story that the current prices are not sustainable is therefore just a carefully woven spin by those who want prices to remain high so that they can continue to reap “supernormal” profits at the expense of the consuming public or to justify their failure as the case may be.


Times have changed and the consuming public is wiser and operating firms that are not efficient and want to pass those inefficiencies to consumers will not be able to do so and hence the hue and cry by Safaricom and Orange. In the present circumstances they must review their business models to survive and typically these organizations are resisting change.


The 1 bob promo is a welcome relief for Kenyans who are reeling from the after effects of spending on Christmas and the shock of the expenses required by kids going back to school. Airtel should be honored and not vilified as is the case.
The Government is blaming Airtel for KRA’S failure to meet its revenue target. KRA is lucky to have such an easy scape goat. Does the government actually believe this? Where are the hard facts? Where is the evidence? Airtel should share the experience of India. How has the low pricing structure in India impacted the economy of India? Most certainly, the impact has not been negative.


The CCK a government body has been saying that the high cost of telecommunication services has been a hindrance to the uptake of telecommunication services. It has also said that the prevalence of telecommunication services would spur economic growth because communication is essential to business. Has the Government changed its stand?
Does the Government not believe in a free market anymore? What Safaricom and Orange are actually asking for is protection from their competitors. Government should actually get out of these businesses while it still can and leave the market to those who can weather the storms of business.


Now Safaricom is asking the Government to raise the interconnection rates so that prices can be adjusted upwards.  And the Government is listening? They are also asking that the Government sets a minimum price for telecommunication services so that Airtel can be gagged from surprising customers with goodies from time to time. If ever there was a retrogressive step, this is one.


Government is meant to be a fair competition arbiter in the fight and not take sides as it has clearly done if the statements attributed to the PS Ministry of Information and Communication in the Nation are true.
Kenyan’s can also clearly remember that the Government scuttled the Fair Competition Regulations (developed by the Minister after consultation with CCK) because Safaricom did not want to be regulated for its anti – competitive behavior. Perhaps if the Government had not taken sides at the time the market would not be experiencing the price wars.


Monopolies are a bad thing whether they are owned by Government or by private investors. Competition laws should be applied impartially and the aim should be to maximize consumer welfare and benefit.
Right now the customer is king and is enjoying easy communication after years of bondage to high prices. The Government should not spoil the party by insisting that operators should not below a fixed floor. Where is Kenya headed?



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Best regards,
Odhiambo WASHINGTON,
Nairobi,KE
+254733744121/+254722743223
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Damn!!