Thank you. It is gratifying to note the drop in casualties, injured, etc between 2003 and 2005 - I think that is attributable to the "Michuki rules".Curious to know what happened between 1977 and 1979 to cause a drastic drop (looks like 100% y-o-y) in "serious injuries per 100 casualties"? (in the "Crash survival rates chart).Looking at "Road risk travel patterns" - where it shows the "fatalities per 100,000 vehicles" seems to show an all time low (since 1963) in 2011. I think to "read" this accurately we'd perhaps want to:1 - Compare the population growth rate vs growth rate of vehicles on the road. If the human population has grown faster, then naturally the fatalities per 100k vehicles will be lower - a distortion I think.2 - Between 1963 and 2011 there have been more roads built, more towns developed, etc ergo more time spent on the road, longer distances travelled collectively, greater time spent on the roads, etc and perhaps higher probabilities of accidents happening. Also I would like to think the types of roads themselves increase the risks of accidents by speeding - higher chances of fatalities on smooth tarmac than on a lumpy murram back road.Just my two bits. However, some of the listers feel ICT can help with the issue of Thika Road - but your stats esp for 2003-2005 CLEARLY show that slight changes to the traffic code and proper enforcement can help turn this around. So lets pass the buck to the minister of transport, the traffic police etc.On 17 May 2012 18:00, Eric Aligula <jairah@kippra.or.ke> wrote:
Listers
As you debate the very grave road safety situation in Kenya, we would wish to share this preliminary information from a study we are conducting on the accuracy of road safety data. Good data is critical for effective policy formulation, implementation and evaluation. Anecdotal evidence suggests a significant level of underreporting, compounded by errors in other complimentary data sets.
However, on the basis of what is available, we aver that the major problem in respect of road safety in Kenya is a human problem. That is our weakest link. How to deal with it is key.
It is very broad brush and we welcome feedback even as we look for answers from Thika Road.
Kind regards
Eric Aligula Magolo, PhD
Programmes Coordinator & Ag. Head, Infrastructure and Economic Services Division
Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis (KIPPRA)
P.O. Box 56445, 00200 Nairobi, Kenya
Telephone: +254-20-2719933/4
Fax: +254-20-2719951
E-mail: jairah@kippra.or.ke
URL: www.kippra.org
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